In an interview with the French newspaper Le Figaro, geopolitical analyst Bruno Tertres notes that after terrorism and migration, the pandemic is now also encouraging the return of borders.
The border has suffered three shocks in five years: terrorism, migrants, and an epidemic. This triple shock of it [terugkeer van] The borders have been re-legalized, and the dream of an “open planet” has also vanished. Borders have “triumphed” (…) 30 years after the end of the Cold War, we are witnessing the end of a cycle. “
According to Tertris, not only is Europe involved in this problem, but borders have been redrawn on various continents in recent years. This is partly due to the rise of new nationalism, also in India and the United States, where building fences and walls is part of local politics.
‘Trump was right’
(…) “When Donald Trump said that“ people want to see the limits, ”he was right. No It has no limitsThe militants who call for the abolition of borders, represent themselves only. ”
The Frenchman added: “To say that walls solve everything is a myth, but to say that they are completely ineffective is a violation of the truth.”
40 percent of the world’s population will live in Africa by 2050
Remarkably, in the interview, Tertris made no mention of Africa, a continent that will experience massive population growth in the coming decades.
The numbers published by the United Nations Population Division in 2019 leave little to the imagination.
While the population in Europe and Latin America will stabilize in the coming decades and North America will witness slight growth, the population in China (orange line) will continue to grow for a while, and in Africa (orange dotted line) for a long time the time has come.
But especially in Africa, population growth will explode. So this continent will affect what happens in Europe in the coming decades.
Africa is the “most important event in the history of mankind.”“
In 2017, the French politician Jean-Louis Borloo described Africa as “the most important event in human history”.
“The population of the continent at the time of independence was 250 million and today its population is 1.25 billion. This continent will number 2.5 billion people within 30 years. Can you imagine what that means? 40% of the world’s population will live in the African continent. 40% Of these people will be under the age of 20. So it is the most important event. The question to be asked is simple. Does this matter to us, yes or no? Does this provide enormous development opportunities, including for the European economy? Or has massive destabilization already started?
So it is the most important event. The question to ask is simple. Does this matter to us, yes or no? Does this provide enormous development opportunities, including for the European economy? Or is the massive destabilization already begun. I appeal for a peace and development treaty between Europe and Africa. “
France Inter (franceinter) May 2, 2017
Destabilization that has paused for the time being due to the three aforementioned shocks.