The number of people who died from the Corona virus in the United Kingdom exceeded 60,000 on Tuesday, as the country had killed 200 people a day weeks earlier than what had been feared by the government’s chief scientific adviser.
These two areas of concern have boosted calls for a national “circuit breaker” to stem the spiral of cases.
367 new Covid deaths were confirmed on Tuesday – the largest number since May, and 265 high from the previous day. While the numbers often fluctuate during and after the weekends, this raises the average death toll over the course of seven days to 200, with 61,469 deaths nationwide, according to an analysis of official data.
More than 9,000 people have been in hospital with Covid, as Leeds Teaching Hospitals trust the NHS is the latest to cancel some non-urgent operations, saying the number of coronavirus patients was more than the peak of the first wave.
Last month, Sir Patrick Vallance warned that the pandemic was growing exponentially and that the UK was on track to have 50,000 cases per day by mid-October and 200 deaths per day by mid-November without much change in direction. His warning, which he insisted was not a prediction, was criticized by some scholars as “unreasonable.” The daily confirmed cases did not exceed 27,000.
Since then, more than 8 million people have been placed under the most stringent Level 3 criteria, with millions more in Level 2.
Meanwhile, an analysis for The Guardian confirmed how the Coronavirus touched every corner of the United Kingdom, indicating that every local authority except for two has recorded at least one death.
Official figures show that the Isles of Scilly and the Auter Hebrides (Na H. Ilianan Sayyar) are the only council regions that have not recorded a single death from COVID-19 since the outbreak began in the spring.
But the country didn’t hurt equally. Professor Neil Ferguson, the scientist whose modeling led to the original UK lockdown in the spring, said the latest figures revealed a three-fold difference in the death rate between 10% of the local authority areas most affected and the least affected 10%. About 92% of Level 3 areas are located in the north of England.
“The reasons for these differences are complex. First, bad luck played a role – the epidemic was planted to different degrees in different regions in February and March. This means that local epidemics reached widely different levels when the lockdown was imposed,” Ferguson said. Demography and deprivation are key factors, he added.
The latest numbers have strengthened the UK’s position as the worst-hit country in Europe in terms of deaths, worse than countries such as Italy, France and Spain, according to Johns Hopkins University.
At a sober press conference on September 21, Valance presented a slide showing the potential progression of the virus. “Fifty thousand cases a day to a month after that, he says mid-November, is expected to lead to 200 deaths a day. “So this graph, which is not a forecast, is simply showing you how fast this could move if the doubling time remained seven days.”
Critics said the new death toll indicated that the government’s “dedicated” effort to contain the spread of the virus was unsuccessful, and that a circuit breaker – as the government’s scientific advisers called – was necessary.
“There is no doubt that the government has completely failed to manage the spread of this virus, but rather to suppress it.
“They are not succeeding in containing the virus because they are not following the approach of a transnational circuit breaker as Sage suggested in September and Independent Sage also suggested.”
Haq added: “Every science advisory group has said to the government that you need a circuit breaker because their class-by-category approach is not entirely appropriate. Coronavirus cases are increasing everywhere across the country, not just in the northwest. [of England] But also in the southwest. The shocking thing is that there was no sign of a plan to quell this virus. “
According to the Guardian’s analysis of deaths, Herttsmire in Hertfordshire – adjacent to the three north London boroughs of Barnet, Harrow and Enfield – had the worst cumulative death rate for Covid-19 during the pandemic, at 178.2 deaths per 100,000.
However, the numbers were not standardized by age to take into account the greater risks to the elderly. When this is taken into account, analysis shows that Herzmmer has the 15th highest Covid-19 death rate in England. A council spokesperson said a major summer outbreak was brought under control.
Based on crude death rates, Herzmere is followed by Tameside in Manchester and Harrow in London, at 167.8 and 162.4 per 100,000, respectively. Inverclyde in Renfrewshire, with 155.5 deaths per 100,000, and the town of Brent in London, at 150.7, were among the five most affected local authorities since the UK’s first known death from the pandemic on January 30th.
On Tuesday, the total number of deaths recorded by the three statistics agencies in England, Wales, Scotland and Northern Ireland was 59,927. But the most recent government figures show 1,542 deaths within 28 days of a positive test since the numbers were recorded in each country: 1359 in England and 69. In Wales and 57 each in Scotland and Northern Ireland. This brings the death toll to 61,469 in the four countries of the United Kingdom.
Two of the regions with the highest mortality rate for Covid-19, Brent and Harrow, are predominantly ethnic regions. In June, a report by Public Health England on Covid-19 deaths confirmed that the risk of death among those diagnosed with Covid-19 was higher in BAME groups than in white ethnic groups.