Two-thirds of new coronavirus infections in the United Kingdom are under the age of 40, while the rate among the elderly has fallen sharply in an “ unusual ” shift.
The number of people over 50 who tested positive for Covid-19 is now only a fifth of the number nationwide, compared to three quarters in the spring.
Only three percent are now of those over the age of 80, down from 28 percent six months ago, The Times reported.
The maximum age for infection is now in the 1920s, but for most of the pandemic it has been in the 1980s – raising hope that further restrictions could be reduced because it appears that the elderly protect themselves voluntarily.
A government adviser suggested a Swedish-style effort to keep workplaces open while advising older people to stay home.
The number of people over 50 who tested positive for Covid-19 is now only a fifth of the number nationwide, compared to three quarters in the spring. Pictured is diners on Frit Street, Soho, on August 11th
“The epidemic is starting to segment” people by age, said Mark Woolhouse of the University of Edinburgh, who sits at the government’s SPI-M Modeling Group.
Ministers have spoken against plans to require people to be protected based on their age, and they are concerned that if the infection is allowed to rise in the youth, it will eventually spread to the most vulnerable members of society.
Especially after France reported a spike in hospital admissions after just weeks of an increase in cases among young people.
Last week, 2,042 cases were confirmed in people in their 20s, more than ten times the number among people over the age of 80.
Professor Dame Ann Johnson, professor of infectious disease epidemiology at University College London, told BBC Radio 4: “ This is really a critical moment. If you look at the data from PHE across the country, we are now seeing the largest number of infections detected in younger people between the ages of 20 and 29 and also up to 45.
Government figures indicate that about 20,000 people were in hospital every day during the darkest days of the crisis in April
About 3,000 people were hospitalized daily with Covid-19 at the height of the crisis in April, according to government statistics. The correct number is not yet known
Ministers have spoken out against plans to require people to be protected based on their age, and they are concerned that if the infection is allowed to rise in the youth, it will eventually spread to the most vulnerable members of society. Pictured, Ladies at a Night in Soho on August 29
On the other hand, the good news is that we are not currently seeing a slight increase in hospital cases and deaths, but this of course reflects where the infection is transmitted.
She added that it would be “extremely important” to keep telling young people about the risks of transmission of the Coronavirus.
Cases began to spike among young people since July, when the hospitality sector was allowed to open up.
The number of positive tests for Covid-19 is lower at all ages than in the spring, but the number of elderly people with the disease has decreased.
Sir David Spieglalter, Professor of Public Understanding of Risk at the University of Cambridge, said the age shift “was affected by the availability of the test, but also by a transformation in the affected people.”
“It seems that the elderly and the vulnerable enjoy much better protection than they were at the beginning of the epidemic, but they need to be able to regain their freedom,” he added.
There are now an estimated 2,000 new cases every day, on average – down 200 from last Friday, when the prediction was at 2,200 – according to the Office for National Statistics.
About 27,100 people in England are thought to have been infected at any one time – 0.05 per cent of the population or 1 in 2,000. That total is a four percent decrease from last week’s estimate of 28,200.
Holiday goers returning to the UK after Portugal not being added to the UK’s quarantine list. The peak of the infection range is now in the 1920s, but for most of the pandemic it was in the 1980s
Britain confirmed 1940 another case of coronavirus yesterday, the largest increase in more than three months, with May 30 the last time many people were diagnosed with the virus.
There are 1,530 people who test positive, on average, every day – a 30 percent jump in one week. The seven-day moving average has been steadily increasing since hitting record lows in mid-July.
Despite this, the scientists say the high number of tests and hospitalizations that is still dropping shows that a second wave is out of the question, and that the better testing regimen is simply choosing more young people with only mild disease who have not been tested before.
King’s College London researchers also estimate there are 2,000 new cases per day across the UK. But that’s a 53 percent increase from their estimate of the previous week – 1,300
Office for National Statistics data: There are now an estimated 2,000 new cases every day, on average
Another 10 people were confirmed dead in all places, according to the Health Ministry, bringing the total to 41,537.
It is expected that most of them will be in England, considering that nothing has been reported by individual health agencies in Wales or Scotland. One of them was in Northern Ireland.
The fact that deaths continue to decline – the seven-day average today is 37 per cent lower than it was last Friday – also indicates that Britain is not staring at a barrel of crisis like the one in March and April.
Instead, as different groups of people become infected and the threshold for testing is lowered, the death rate should now remain low.
Professor Carl Heneghan, a medical expert at the University of Oxford, said this week: “ What we are seeing is a sharp rise in the number of healthy people carrying the virus, but not showing any symptoms … They are being monitored because – finally – there is a comprehensive national testing and tracking system.
There is no sign of a second wave of COVID-19 in the UK, the scientists say
Experts say Britain is not entering a second wave of coronavirus infections, and young people diagnosed with a mild illness and who are being diagnosed in the growing number of cases are unlikely to cause an increase in hospitalizations.
Health Minister Matt Hancock warned this week that the UK “ must do everything in its power ” to stop a second wave of people going to hospital due to the coronavirus, which he said is starting to happen in Europe.
But experts told MailOnline that Hancock’s comments were “alarming” and that there was currently no “sign” of a second wave on the horizon. The data indicates that hospital cases are not increasing much in Europe, contrary to the claim of the Minister of Health.
As of Monday, there were only 764 people hospitalized with Covid-19 in the UK, of whom only 60 were in intensive care. This is a steep drop from a peak of 19,872 hospitalized patients on April 12th.
The decrease in the number of hospital cases comes despite a spike in infections since lockdown restrictions were lifted at the start of July. The reason for this, experts say, is that the groups that are infected and diagnosed are now very different from those that are at the start of the epidemic.
Scientists say it is young people who cause the infection, are less likely to get serious illness and end up in hospital. For this reason, hospital cases and deaths will not necessarily follow the higher cases, and there may not be a fatal wave like the first.
What we are seeing is a sharp rise in the number of healthy people who carry the virus, but are not showing symptoms. Nearly all of them are young. A comprehensive national testing and tracing system.
Hancock said in the House of Commons on Tuesday that he feared that this spike in infections in healthy people could creep into vulnerable groups if allowed to continue, saying it was a pattern seen in the United States where cases are spiraling out of control again.
But the scientists dropped the comments of Mr. Hancock the killer, noting that deaths did not rise in France or Spain, and the reason for the decline in hospital admissions in the United Kingdom with the diagnosis of cases “simply reflects the increased testing.”
Official data from the continent shows that European hospitals are not filled with coronavirus patients despite the rise in positive tests – the number of hospital admissions has decreased in France, Spain and Germany, while cases have increased.
Professor Kevin McConnoy, statistician at the Open University, told MailOnline: “ The important point is that the Covid death numbers in France have shown very little evidence of a recent rise. There was some kind of spike in deaths in Spain, but it wasn’t noticeable at all.
Statisticians say expanding testing capacity means infection is more easily detected than it was at the start of the epidemic. In the UK alone, the number of tests being conducted has increased by 20 per cent from the beginning of July to now. But the number of positive results increased by only 0.3 percent in the same period, indicating that the new cases are a combination of more tests, and only a slight increase in infections in hot spots.