# Chances for Orange in the World Cup: The biggest competitor after Brazil and Argentina

What are the chances of orange in the World Cup? The chance of the Dutch team winning the world title is calculated as 7%. This says the data agency Gracenote. According to the bureau, only Brazil and Argentina have a better chance of winning the world title. Brazil has the best chance, because it’s estimated at 20%.

The chance of Argentina becoming champions is calculated at 16%. After the two South American countries, it is followed by the Netherlands with 7%, and Spain also with 7%. Followed by Belgium (6%), Portugal (5 0%) and France (5%) are world champions. The results were calculated on the basis of a large number of tournament simulations.

group stage
The chance that the Orange will succeed in passing the group stage is 78%. If these accounts are to be believed, Ecuador has the best chance of surviving (54 percent). It is followed by Qatar with 41%, while Senegal has to suffice with 28%.

Read also: The potential rivals of the Orange in the knockout stage of the 2022 World Cup are already known

mathematical calculations
Gracenote accounts focus primarily on results. As a result, the chances of the Orange look great, because since the Czech Republic was eliminated in the 2021 European Championship, they have not lost a single match. So it says nothing about what the past few months have been like for example.

zero percentage
According to the data agency, 7 countries have absolutely no (0%) chance of being named: Costa Rica, Tunisia, Australia, Senegal, Saudi Arabia, Ghana and Cameroon. Home country and organizer Qatar will have a 1% chance. By the way, these probabilities are calculated on statistics, and they should not be taken lightly.

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### The luck of all participants in the World Cup in the World Championship

Brazil – 20 percent
Argentina – 16 percent
Holland, Spain – 7%
Belgium – 6 percent
France, Portugal – 5%
Denmark and Uruguay – 4 percent
England, Germany, Switzerland – 3%
Croatia, Serbia, Iran, Ecuador – 2%
United States, Japan, Morocco, Poland, Canada, South Korea, Qatar and Wales – 1%
Costa Rica, Tunisia, Australia, Senegal, Saudi Arabia, Ghana and Cameroon – 0 percent