The Cardinal went into yesterday with a good chance of qualifying, winning or losing. They might have needed help from the San Francisco Giants or a double-header game against the Detroit Tiger, but the easiest path was to win. With the Giants losing and the Reds winning, the Cardinal was in a strange position to either face the San Diego Padres as the No. 5 seed or the Los Angeles Dodgers as the No. 1 seed. Since their victory, they have faced Badriss.
The last time the Cardinals saw the Padres, they were 70-92 teams and put last in NL East. Things have changed. Not only are Padres now second in NL East with a record of 37-23, they also have the best NL record of any team not called the Dodgers. If you’re wondering, they also have the second-best running difference in NL, outpacing opponents by 84 points in 60 games. In comparison, cardinals have a +11 running difference.
As the first round approaches, the question should be “Are they real?” Yeah. Nor. Just let’s break down the details and focus on the fact that Padres won 70 games last year and played 60 games this year. Keep in mind that Padres is running at a 100 win pace. This is a 30-win improvement. I seriously doubt they’d actually be a 100-win team if they played an entire season. At the same time, this differential range is difficult to ignore. This is not a coincidence. Let’s focus on the details and see what Padres has to offer in 2020.
Here are some great stats. Padres is linked to the third largest number of home races in baseball and has the third highest Isolated Strength (ISO) in baseball. They hold these numbers while playing half of their matches at the infamous pitcher jar, Petco Park. They are led by the 21-year-old Fernando Tatis, with 17 HRs and .297 ISO.
In fact, they have five players with a minimum of 100 protected areas and 200 ISO. Much to the dismay of Cardinals fans everywhere, one of them is Mane Machado, with its 279 ISO and 16 HRs. They also have a former Brewer Trent Grisham, with 10 HRs and .206 ISO. Card fans can handle the pain, for Browers fans, over losing a defensive player who played better than he did with you. At this point in the list, I began to seriously doubt the reliability of players to continue performing this way: Eric Hosmer (never happened in his life with .200+ ISO with 0.231 ISO) and Will Myers (highest in his career. 220) ISO – 306 ISO in year ).
With strength comes punches … except not much here. They have the 6 best K% in the league. Certainly men who bring power attack, except for Machado and Hosmer, and Hosmer’s strength figures cannot be trusted. They are in the middle of the package in walks and in the middle of the package in BABIP. So the book or hope if you like, is to hit guys exposed to K and hope for Machado’s retreat. This is the best I have here.
You do a fine unaffected Petco Park and then add Petco Park, and that’s a dangerous team. Padres are fifth in the league at K / 9, fifth in the league at BB / 9, and sixth in the league at HR / 9. However, I will say that overall their showing seems to be a problem, but when you look at the single shooters, in theory They seem a lot more winnable here.
The possible start of Game 1 will contain a jug as the previous statement will not be correct. That wouldn’t be true at all. Denelson Lamitt has a ridiculous 34.8K% in a season to go with just 7.5% BB. It doesn’t get groundballs very often, with 36.9 GB% and that’s where the Petco benefit comes in. But even so, the K / BB ratio leads to 2.48 FIP, well we’re going to be playing at Petco, so it doesn’t look like the HR / FB ratio% won’t be helpful. Not that playing Busch would help us a lot either.
Then? Well, with Mike Klevinger knocked out in the first round, Padres have a few very humble beginners. A familiar name for a card fan, Zach Davis, will host one of the two matches. It has 2.73 ERA, but 3.88 FIP and 4.14 xFIP. Davis has 4.55 epochs against the Cardinals. The other guy, Chris Padack, struggled hard with HR. Somehow he has 25 HR / FB% a year. It allowed 14 HRs at 12 starts. This is pretty much its only flaw, but one that gave it 4.73 PM, so it’s a huge flaw.
Four archers succeeded in blocking Padres, but former Cardinal Trevor Rosenthal appears to be the former Cardinal who was unbelievable for Padres. Even though he only offered 9 rounds to them, he has the second best war loyalists on their team, thanks to 14 hits in a single march. They approached them before Rosie Drew Pomerans rose from the dead this year, spreading 1.45 PM. He had some trouble walking, but he encouraged a lot of things that didn’t matter.
They also recently acquired Austin Adams, who has spent most of the year in IL, but looks healthy now and terrified. I remember his last season against the Mariners and when he clicked, he’s invincible. It got 41.1K% with Seafarers last year. K% now … it’s also 41.2%. He allowed 2 runs yesterday and only made 4 rounds total, so his squeeze is 4.50. We might not catch it when things click, but the K% indicates that we are.
Rounding off the “man I don’t want to face” list is probably Pierce Johnson, whose overall numbers are better than cool, but he comes with 12.15k / 9. The starting pitcher Garrett Richards can be used for the Bulls too. So, they basically have a right-handed kills a right-wing (Adams), a left-handed kills a left-wing (Boomerans), a close-up (Rosenthal), a very strong average savior (Johnson), and a guy who can offer some roles (Richards). The rest of the Bullpen is not that impressive, but that’s usually five men.
Well, here we have an interstate battle, because the DRS appears to be at odds on the Padriss defense. UZR and thus the Fangraphs have the Padres with the third best defense in a major. DRS, or Saved Defensive Run, has Padres with only +4 and 15 in majors. I would say that’s quite the difference. The DRS and UZR both agree on Trent Grisham, which is a +7 DRS and +20 UZR / 150 fielder. I am somewhat skeptical that Good, but not the reason for the disparity though.
Perhaps one of the biggest differences last year, UZR didn’t think he was a good player. This year, UZR thinks it’s a +4 player. DRS has as a neutral player. Overall, Tatis Jr is a -4 fielder by UZR / 150 for his career so far. In any case, I cannot specifically say why there is such a big difference in the two stats, but the Cardinal may or may not have the fieldwork advantage depending on the stats you trust. If you are the average of the two, the Cardinals are advancing thanks to them taking 1st place in the DRS and 7th in field races.
They also steal the rules
Yeah. So they’re good at spanking, good at playing, good at merchandising and, above all, they lead the big companies at stolen bases. However, they are not a particularly good core team. Not that they are unsuccessful in stealing the rules. They have an 80% success rate. They are, however, 13th in the league at BsR, which in one way or another means they are a below-average core team no matter when the bags are passed. Because their BSR is only +0.8 as a team.
Machado was the worst offender, and he was actually a poor primary player of his career. This might have something to do with his success rate (6 stolen bases versus 3 caught stealing) and the fact that he is slow (387 at enemy speed). Tatis Jr. The team has 11 stolen bases and Grisham also has 10 stolen bases. Keep in mind that with 54 heists in 60 games, they still steal less than once in the game. And no matter how much he turned it down, the teams still didn’t steal much from Yadi. So I’m not sure if robberies will come into play despite being the first for major majors in this category.
In other words, how much recognition should we give to their record because they only faced teams in NL and AL West? I’m going to take out the best team here: They went 4-6 against the Dodgers. They also went 2-1 against 36-24 athletics. Everyone else they faced had a losing track record.
Well, they contributed to the Houston Astros’ 29-31 record, sweeping them in the only series they faced. They also went 8-2 against the Giants. Now, Astros appears to be better than their record, and the giants … they just don’t. Despite the fact that the Padres are largely responsible for a losing track record of the giants, I don’t think they’re any good.
Aside from that, they encountered rebuilding sailors, sad angels, broken Rangers, incompetent Rockies, and unfortunate Dbacks. You could, if someone leaned that far, say they made use of the timeline here. West, both NL and AL, combined for four playoffs. Central combined for seven deciding teams. It’s really hard to tell because no one plays outside of cleavage, but that’s definitely an interesting wrinkle. (If you don’t believe in NL Central that’s okay, but AL Central had 3 teams + 35 wins)
So there you have it. A team with no weaknesses. But like I said, they haven’t been tested in 162 matches and haven’t come out of the division so they might not be this is Good, and promotion matches aren’t deadly either. It will be tough, because the odds are good that they will be instantly put into the 0-1 hole thanks to Lamet, but as we always say, the qualifiers are random. We only need one great outing from one of our rookies, one unsuccessful outing from them, and if you can time them during separate matches, you have two wins. And if not, well, the cards faced the second toughest team in NL while they were on the break.